8 thoughts

  1. Dear Dr Aniruddha Malpani sir, I have recently posted my views on mathematical modelling which has recently (2 weeks ago) developed by Singapore University. The model predicts that a fall in the growth rate of COVID-19 cases in India will be seen after 15th May 2020. After this, many people started believing and sharing this prediction but since the mathematical modelling itself depends upon various variable factors, parameters and uncertainty. I strongly suggested people to not believe such predictions as of now and should continue to maintain personal hygiene and social distancing.
    Attaching the post for your reference.
    https://www.linkedin.com/posts/aniket-barnwal-203712154_covid19-mathematicalabrmodelling-research-activity-6661297810182406144-bt-1

  2. Dr Aniruddha Malpani Gurudev, It might be waste for current situation as there are (n) number of variable parameters but with these mathematical predictions only, our statisticians predicts weather conditions and other transient factors.

  3. And you will be pleasantly surprised to know that this analysis was carried out after the original code had been improved by Microsoft, because the original code that locked down the UK and the USA was 15,000 lines of spaghetti code written for an XT computer.

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