Would be interesting to see those that hate Israel and want them wiped off the map deal with this.
Ok so Israel is irradiating the spread of virus by the measures of social distancing and mask stuff. They haven’t discovered any anti dott or vaccine for the pandemic yet. Hmm great ?
Lockdown should be lifted up phase by phase in India starting May 2020
May 1st week: All food related stores/restaurants/TV media
May 3rd week: All transport [limited inter state transportation]
June 1st Week: All retail shops
June 3rd Week: All offices
July 1st Week: All IT Parks/offices
Jul 3rd Week: All Schools and colleges
Aug – Inter state tourism, international tourism will be decided based on other country’s recovery status
A 15day gap will also be helpful if the situation goes unmanageable
Dr Aniruddha Malpani Devil is always in Details! Erroneous Analyses on Erroneous data leads to Erroneous Conclusions!!
Erroneous Analyses: using case numbers per country without any consideration for total geographical area or total population is a major error in these Israeli analyses. Consider this: would you ever have same rate of transmission of a contagious disease in rural Australia and in densely populated Kolkata?
Erroneous Data: The Israeli researchers forgot to check the accuracy of data and took data as reported. Number of cases reported by each country is very much dependent upon their testing criteria. For eg UK only tests patients who get admitted- ppl who are discharged home are not tested (as with any other viral illness!); in Italy, they were testing only patients with symptoms, asymptomatic contacts were not tested; finally South Korea and Germany tests masses- in South Korea they tested everyone who belonged to a particular religious community after some were detected with disease. This explains the differential mortality, slamming apparent higher mortality in Italy on healthcare system was an erroneous conclusion.
More importantly,in india, ppl might underplay this very contagious virus!
Himanshu Kataria yes, and have you considered the counter-intuitive possibility that the rate of transmission maybe actually be less in densely populated countries because they have better herd immunity?
Dr Aniruddha Malpani but they still were successful in breaking the chain of this spread right!!! And there’s nothing dumb by the way having hope. Every thing is starts from nothing.
Dr Aniruddha Malpani Herd Immunity is acquired once there is more than 50% infection in the community (typically 60%); and that would mean between 0.5% to 2.5% of whole population will need to die!! Thats 5000 to 25000 per 1 million population compared to Italy’s death rate of 358 per million population! Going for herd immunity is not a strategy to take for this disease! Mitigation of transmission rate and containment to get rid of it completely (China Strategy) is best from both economic and societal point of view!
Mohammed Saleem S yes, and we should be happy that simple measures are working ?
Would be interesting to see those that hate Israel and want them wiped off the map deal with this.
Ok so Israel is irradiating the spread of virus by the measures of social distancing and mask stuff. They haven’t discovered any anti dott or vaccine for the pandemic yet. Hmm great ?
Lockdown should be lifted up phase by phase in India starting May 2020
May 1st week: All food related stores/restaurants/TV media
May 3rd week: All transport [limited inter state transportation]
June 1st Week: All retail shops
June 3rd Week: All offices
July 1st Week: All IT Parks/offices
Jul 3rd Week: All Schools and colleges
Aug – Inter state tourism, international tourism will be decided based on other country’s recovery status
A 15day gap will also be helpful if the situation goes unmanageable
Dr Aniruddha Malpani Devil is always in Details! Erroneous Analyses on Erroneous data leads to Erroneous Conclusions!!
Erroneous Analyses: using case numbers per country without any consideration for total geographical area or total population is a major error in these Israeli analyses. Consider this: would you ever have same rate of transmission of a contagious disease in rural Australia and in densely populated Kolkata?
Erroneous Data: The Israeli researchers forgot to check the accuracy of data and took data as reported. Number of cases reported by each country is very much dependent upon their testing criteria. For eg UK only tests patients who get admitted- ppl who are discharged home are not tested (as with any other viral illness!); in Italy, they were testing only patients with symptoms, asymptomatic contacts were not tested; finally South Korea and Germany tests masses- in South Korea they tested everyone who belonged to a particular religious community after some were detected with disease. This explains the differential mortality, slamming apparent higher mortality in Italy on healthcare system was an erroneous conclusion.
More importantly,in india, ppl might underplay this very contagious virus!
Himanshu Kataria yes, and have you considered the counter-intuitive possibility that the rate of transmission maybe actually be less in densely populated countries because they have better herd immunity?
Dr Aniruddha Malpani but they still were successful in breaking the chain of this spread right!!! And there’s nothing dumb by the way having hope. Every thing is starts from nothing.
Dr Aniruddha Malpani Herd Immunity is acquired once there is more than 50% infection in the community (typically 60%); and that would mean between 0.5% to 2.5% of whole population will need to die!! Thats 5000 to 25000 per 1 million population compared to Italy’s death rate of 358 per million population! Going for herd immunity is not a strategy to take for this disease! Mitigation of transmission rate and containment to get rid of it completely (China Strategy) is best from both economic and societal point of view!
Mohammed Saleem S yes, and we should be happy that simple measures are working ?